American Airline’s recent bankruptcy filing will definitely have some pretty far-reaching consequences in Arizona. What may not be so easy to tell is that the effect felt by Arizona’s 2 largest airports may be completely different.
In 1927, Standard Airways set up shop in Tucson International Airport. Since then, its successor, American Airlines, has been one of the largest airlines in Tucson. At Tucson International Airport, American Airlines is the 2nd busiest out of all airlines, where it carries 23% of all passengers. Not only that, it has also been one of the fastest growing airlines, with passenger counts rising by 6.5% for last year. American Airlines is also one of the larger employers in the area, responsible for almost 750 employees in its southwest reservations office.
The same is not true in Phoenix, though. American Airlines came to Phoenix only a few years after Tucson, in 1930, but it doesn’t have even close to the same impact in Phoenix. American carries only 3.5% of all of Sky Harbor’s passengers, which puts it far behind both US Airways, which carries 46% of passengers, and Southwest, which carries 33% of passengers.
In November of 2011, when American Airlines’ parent company, AMR Corp., filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization, the executives outlined a restructuring plan that would have them emerging from bankruptcy much more efficient, and future-proof. The plan outlined showed the biggest cost cuts in getting out of current airplane leases, and reducing their labor costs.
At the time of this announcement, US Airways executives as well as Delta Air executives expressed interest in acquiring American Airlines. At the same time, Delta made the surprising move of announcing that they were looking at possibly acquiring US Airways as well. Many analysts and airline executives praised the move, saying that the consolidation of airlines would be just what the industry needs, and that it will lead to much greater financial stability.
However the potential merger plays out, the US Airways brand could become a thing of the past. American Airlines, though in bankruptcy, is still the 3rd largest airline in the entire United States, with 4th quarter 2011 revenue of $6 billion. US Airways is currently the 5th largest airline in the nation, with 4th quarter 2011 revenue of only $3.2 billion. Delta is the largest of the 3, currently 2nd largest in the nation, with 4th quarter 2011 revenue of $8.4 billion. If the merger were to go through as Delta proposes, then the current Tempe headquarters of US Airways would likely move to either Atlanta, Georgia, Delta’s current headquarters, or Fort Worth, Texas, current headquarters of American Airlines.
Potentially causing further problems for the valley, the merger could put Sky Harbor’s position as a hub at risk. Sky Harbor wouldn’t add much value to American Airlines current hubs, Chicago, Los Angeles, and Dallas-Fort Worth. Sky Harbor’s strongest appeal would probably be for Delta Airlines, which would be likely to choose between Salt Lake City and Phoenix. Salt Lake City is currently a hub for Delta.
Airports are usually classified as hubs and spokes, and Tucson is at the end of a spoke. If Sky Harbor’s status from hub is downgraded, it could cause loss of flight service from Tucson to Phoenix.
There are some positive signs for airlines as well, though. 2012 started out much the same as how 2011 ended, with passenger counts declining. Tucson International Airport saw a 0.8% drop in passenger counts, but beneath that bad news is a silver lining.
The airport’s busiest airline, Southwest, reported declining passenger counts to the tune of 8.5%, but that was due almost entirely to temporary service pullbacks. The airline discontinued one of their four San Diego round-trips, and one of their five Las Vegas round-trips. Out of the 226 seats average daily capacity decline, that alone counts for 200 of them.
Total seat capacity for January 2012 was reduced by 3.4% compared with January 2011, but with total passenger counts down only 0.8%, that means that the planes that left Tucson International Airport were, on average, leaving with more seats full. That is good news to airlines.
Adding to the good news, last month, both Alaska Air and American Airlines significantly increased their capacity, as well as seeing passenger growth. Delta Airlines didn’t increase their capacity, but they also saw passenger totals increasing.